Epidemiological variations and trends in glaucoma burden in the Belt and Road countries.

BACKGROUND: Analyzing the glaucoma burden in "Belt and Road" (B&R) countries based on age, gender, and risk factors from 1990 to 2019 in order to provide evidence for future prevention strategies. METHODS: We applied global burden of disease(GBD) 2019 to compare glaucoma prevalence and Years lived with disabilities (YLDs) from 1990 to 2019 in the B&R countries. Trends of disease burden between 1990 and 2019 were evaluated using the average annual percent change and the 95% uncertainty interval (UI) were reported. RESULTS: From 1990 to 2019, most B&R countries showed a downward trend in age-standardized prevalence and YLDs (all P < 0.05). Additionally, only the age-standardized YLDs in males of Pakistan has a 0.35% increase (95%CI:0.19,0.50,P < 0.001), and most B&R countries has a decline(all P < 0.05) in age-standardized YLDs in every 5 years age group after 45 years old except for Pakistan(45-79 years and > 85 years), Malaysia(75-84 years), Brunei Darussalam(45-49 years), Afghanistan(70-79 years). Finally, in all Central Asian countries, the age-standardized YLDs due to glaucoma caused by fasting hyperglycemia demonstrated have an increase between 1990 and 2019 (all P < 0.05), but Armenia and Mongolia have a decrease between 2010 and 2019 (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of glaucoma continues to pose a significant burden across regions, ages, and genders in countries along the "B&R". It is imperative for the "B&R" nations to enhance health cooperation in order to collaboratively tackle the challenges associated with glaucoma.

Patterns and trends of mortality from metastatic colorectal cancer in Shanghai, China from 2005 to 2021: a population-based retrospective analysis.

PURPOSE: Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) is the leading cause of CRC deaths, however, the relative epidemiological research was insufficient. We aimed to analyze the patterns and trends of mortality of mCRC in Shanghai with a more complete system for monitoring the cause of death of the population and find potential methods to reduce the burden of CRC in China. METHODS: Mortality data from 2005 to 2021 of mCRC deaths were obtained from the mortality registration system in Shanghai. We analyzed the crude mortality rates, age-standardized mortality rates, and rates of years of life lost (YLL rates) of mCRC. In addition, the trends were quantified using Joinpoint Regression software. RESULTS: A total of 4,386 mCRC deaths were included, with 1,937 (44.16%) liver metastases and 1,061 (24.19%) lung metastases. The crude mortality rate and age-standardized mortality rate of mCRC were 9.09 per 105 person-years and 3.78 per 105 person-years, respectively. The YLL was 50,533.13 years, and the YLL rate was 104.67 per 105 person-years. The overall annual crude mortality rate of mCRC increased by 1.47% (95% CI 0.28-2.68%, P < 0.001) from 2005 to 2021. The crude mortality rate of mCRC increased by 3.20% per year (95% CI 1.80-4.70%, P < 0.001) from 2005 to 2013, but the trend of mortality growth remained stable from 2013 to 2021. The YLL rates remained stable between 2005 and 2021. CONCLUSIONS: Population aging was the most likely factor responsible for the increase in CRC mortality in Pudong. Physical examinations and screenings for the elderly were possible reasons for reducing the burden of CRC in fast-growing regions.

Diversities of disability caused by lung cancer in the 66 Belt and Road initiative countries: a secondary analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Objectives: Due to the increase in life expectancy and the aging of the global population, the "Belt and Road" ("B&R") countries are faced with varying degrees of lung cancer threat. The purpose of this study is to analyze the differences in the burden and trend of lung cancer disability in the "B&R" countries from 1990 to 2019 so as to provide an analytical strategic basis to build a healthy "B&R". Methods: Data were derived from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 (GBD 2019). Incidence, mortality, prevalence, the years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of lung cancer and those attributable to different risk factors were measured from 1990 to 2019. Trends of disease burden were estimated by using the average annual percent change (AAPC), and the 95% uncertainty interval (UI) was reported. Results: China, India, and the Russian Federation were the three countries with the highest burden of lung cancer in 2019. From 1990 to 2019, the AAPC of incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs generally showed a downward trend in Central Asia (except Georgia) and Eastern Europe, while in China, South Asia (except Bangladesh), most countries in North Africa, and the Middle East, the trend was mainly upward. The AAPC of age-standardized incidence was 1.33% (1.15%-1.50%); the AAPC of prevalence, mortality, and DALYs from lung cancer in China increased by 24% (2.10%-2.38%), 0.94% (0.74%-1.14%), and 0.42% (0.25%-0.59%), respectively. A downward trend of the AAPC values of age-standardized YLD rate in men was shown in the vast majority of "B&R" countries, but for women, most countries had an upward trend. For adults aged 75 years or older, the age-standardized YLD rate showed an increasing trend in most of the "B&R" countries. Except for the DALY rate of lung cancer attributable to metabolic risks, a downward trend of the DALY rate attributable to all risk factors, behavioral risks, and environmental/occupational risks was shown in the vast majority of "B&R" countries. Conclusion: The burden of lung cancer in "B&R" countries varied significantly between regions, genders, and risk factors. Strengthening health cooperation among the "B&R" countries will help to jointly build a community with a shared future for mankind.

The burden of congenital birth defects between 1990 and 2019 in China: an observational study.

Background: Congenital birth defects (CBDs) are a major public health issue. This study aims to assess trends in the burden of CBDs between 1990 and 2019 across China based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 (GBD 2019). Methods: Indicators of the burden of CBDs included incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Metrics included number, rate, and age-standardized rate with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Data were stratified by region [China, global, high-, middle-, low-socio-demographic index (SDI)], age, sex, and type of CBD. Average annual percentage changes (AAPC) and trends were evaluated. Results: In China, between 1990 and 2019, the age-standardized incidence rate for CBDs showed an increasing trend, with an AAPC of 0.26% (0.11% to 0.41%), reaching 148.12 per 105 person-years (124.03 to 176.33) in 2019. Most CBDs were congenital heart anomalies, with an AAPC of 0.12% (-0.08% to 0.32%). The age-standardized mortality rate for CBDs showed a decreasing trend, with an AAPC of -4.57% (-4.97% to -4.17%), reaching 4.62 per 105 person-years (3.88 to 5.57) in 2019. Most mortality was associated with congenital heart anomalies, with an AAPC of -3.77% (-4.35% to -3.19%). The age-standardized DALYs rate for CBDs showed a decreasing trend, with an AAPC of -3.74% (-3.95% to -3.52%), reaching 480.95 per 105 person-years (407.69 to 570.04) in 2019. Conclusions: Morbidity associated with CBDs increased in China between 1990 and 2019, accelerated by the adoption of the two-child policy, and ranked high globally. These findings emphasize the need for prenatal screening and primary and secondary prevention strategies.

Nitrogen removal in improved subsurface wastewater infiltration system: Mechanism, microbial indicators and the limitation of phosphorus.

To enhance the nitrogen removal capacity, scrap iron filings and Si-Al porous clay mineral material (PCMW) was used to improve a subsurface wastewater infiltration system (SWIS). The results showed TN and NH4+-N removal efficiencies of improved SWIS were 20.72% and 5.49% higher than those of the control SWIS, respectively. Based on the response of the removal performance, microbial community and function analysis of 16s rRNA amplicon sequencing results, the amending soil matrix substantially enriched the nitrogen removal bacteria (Rhizobiales_Incertae_Sedis and Gemmatimonadaceae), and significantly improved the activities of key enzymes (Hao, NasAB, NarGHI, NirK, NorBC, NirA and NirBD), particularly at co-occurrence zone of nitrification and denitrification (70-130 cm depth). The amending soil matrix not only extended the growth space of microbes, but also provided additional electrons and carbon sources for denitrifying bacteria by regulating the structure and function of the microbial community. In addition, amending soil matrix could enhance phosphate metabolism genes and phosphate solubilizing microbes in the denitrification zone by increasing the phosphorus source, thus strengthening nitrogen metabolism. Nitrospiraceae, Rhizobiales_Incertae_Sedis and Gemmatimonadaceae related to nitrogen removal and Bacillaceae with phosphate-solubilizing ability could be used as microbial indicators of nitrogen removal in SWISs. The reciprocal action of environmental on microbial characteristics exhibited microbial functional were related to DO, Fe2+, TOC, TP, TN, NH4+-N and NO3--N. Those could be used as physicochemical and biological indicators for application and monitoring of SWIS. In conclusion, this study provided a low-cost and efficient enhancement approach for the application of SWIS in decentralized domestic sewage treatment, and furnished theoretical support for subsequent applications.

A Predictive Model Based on a New CI-AKI Definition to Predict Contrast Induced Nephropathy in Patients With Coronary Artery Disease With Relatively Normal Renal Function.

Background: Contrast induced nephropathy (CIN) is a common complication in patients receiving intravascular contrast media. In 2020, the American College of Radiology and the National Kidney Foundation issued a new contrast induced acute kidney injury (CI-AKI) criteria. Therefore, we aimed to explore the potential risk factors for CIN under the new criteria, and develop a predictive model for patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) with relatively normal renal function (NRF). Methods: Patients undergoing coronary angiography or percutaneous coronary intervention at Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University between May 2019 and April 2020 were consecutively enrolled. Eligible candidates were selected for statistical analysis. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify the predictive factors. A stepwise method and a machine learning (ML) method were used to construct a model based on the Akaike information criterion. The performance of our model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) and calibration curves. The model was further simplified into a risk score. Results: A total of 2,009 patients with complete information were included in the final statistical analysis. The results showed that the incidence of CIN was 3.2 and 1.2% under the old and new criteria, respectively. Three independent predictors were identified: baseline uric acid level, creatine kinase-MB level, and log (N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide) level. Our stepwise model had an AUC of 0.816, which was higher than that of the ML model (AUC = 0.668, P = 0.09). The model also achieved accurate predictions regarding calibration. A risk score was then developed, and patients were divided into two risk groups: low risk (total score < 10) and high risk (total score ≥ 10). Conclusions: In this study, we first identified important predictors of CIN in patients with CAD with NRF. We then developed the first CI-AKI model on the basis of the new criteria, which exhibited accurate predictive performance. The simplified risk score may be useful in clinical practice to identify high-risk patients.